Ol' Blighty

Greater Manchester Mayoral Race Heats Up Amidst Leadership Shift

Bev Craig poised for victory, potentially wielding more power than predecessor Andy Burnham.

A lone gavel on a polished desk under a spotlight, symbolizing political power.
Image: Eddie Pollard / AI
Sarah Connor
Sarah Connor
The upcoming Greater Manchester mayoral election is set to redefine local governance as former mayor Andy Burnham transitions to prime minister, leaving a significant void and a new landscape for his successor.
Despite this significant advantage, she is not predicted to secure the 50 percent of first-choice votes required for a first-round victory, necessitating a second round under the supplementary voting system.
In a potential second round, More in Common expects Craig to decisively defeat Reform's Sian Astley by a margin of 65 percent to 35 percent.
Jon Tonge attributes Craig's likely victory largely to the change in the party's leadership; she will be a primary beneficiary of its 'Burnham bounce' and the momentum it generates.
Craig herself stated that May's elections 'were driven by national issues rather than local ones,' indicating a broader political context influencing voter behavior.

May's elections were driven by national issues rather than local ones.

Bev Craig
Both Bev Craig and Andy Burnham shared frustrations regarding the limitations of the mayoral role during his tenure, a shared understanding that points to inherent challenges within the office itself.
If elected, Craig may command more power than Mr. Burnham ever held as mayor, signaling a potential evolution of the office and its influence over the region's trajectory.
Criticisms persist regarding the current state of Greater Manchester, with Richard Kilpatrick claiming the region has been let down by 'Labour's complacency' and a lack of decisive action.
Phil Eckersley further claims the outer boroughs of Greater Manchester are too often 'left behind,' highlighting a stark disparity in regional development and resource allocation.
Marcus Farmer asserts that Manchester City Council and the combined authority have been 'outclassed' by private companies, a dynamic contributing to a severe shortage of affordable housing in the city.
This alleged imbalance between public and private sector influence demands that the incoming mayor address critical urban issues with urgency and resolve.
The transition of Andy Burnham to Prime Minister creates a unique political landscape, potentially empowering his successor with an unprecedented level of influence over Greater Manchester's future.